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2020 US Elections – Forecast/Polls – 17 August 2020

Posted on August 18, 2020August 18, 2020 by data-art

Data updated 17 August 2020. President: Biden favoured to win (538), lean Biden (Cook). Senate: toss-up (Cook). House:

DemocratRepublican

President: Electoral Scoreboard. Race classification by Cook Political Report, forecast win likelihood by 538.

Dem
>90%
196
NM
90%
201
CO
85%
210
MI
82%
226
ME
78%
228
NV
78%
234
PA
74%
254
NH
73%
258
MN
73%
268
National
72%
WI
72%
278
FL
65%
307
AZ
56%
318
NE2
55%
319
NC
51%
219
OH
55%
204
ME2
64%
186
GA
67%
185
IA
69%
169
TX
74%
163
AK
81%
125
MO
87%
122
SC
87%
112
MS
87%
103
MT
88%
97
Rep
>90%
94
18821830818712577
SolidLikelyLeanToss-UpLeanLikelySolid
DC
VT
MA
CA
MD
NY
WA
DE
IL
HI
RI
CT
NJ
ME1
OR
NM
VA 92%
CO 85%
ME 78%
NV 78%
MI 82% (234)
PA 74% (254)
NH 73% (258)
MN 73% (268)
National 72%
WI 72% (278)
FL 65% (307)
NE2 55% (308)
AZ 56% (319)
NC 51% (219)
ME2 64% (204)
GA 67% (203)
OH 55% (187)
IA 69% (169)
TX 74% (163)
AK 81%
MO 87%
SC 87%
MT 88%
KS 92%
IN 95%
UT 95%
MS
LA
AR
NE1
TN
SD
KY
NE
AL
ND
ID
OK
WV
WY
NE3

Senate: Italics indicates Democrats are the incumbent party. Race classification by Cook Political Report, polling averages by Real Clear Politics.

454547474340
SolidLikelyLeanToss-UpLeanLikelySolid
MN
NM

DE
IL
MA
NH
NJ
OR
RI
VA
+35
MI (46)
AZ -7.4 (47)
CO (48)
ME -4.5 (49)
NC -3.5 (50)
IA -0.3 (51)
MT +2.0 (49)
GA (Perdue) +4.0 (48)
AL (47)
GA (Loeffler) (46)
KS (45)

SC (44)
KY
TX

AK
AR
ID
LA
MS
NE
OK
SD
TN
WV
WY

+30
Majority: 51 (50 for party holding presidency)

House: Race classification by Cook Political Report.

190207221186172156
SolidLikelyLeanToss-UpLeanLikelySolid
190
seats
17
seats
14
seats
28
seats
14
seats
16
seats
156
seats
Majority: 218

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