2020 US Elections – Forecast/Polls – 17 August 2020

Data updated 17 August 2020. President: Biden favoured to win (538), lean Biden (Cook). Senate: toss-up (Cook). House:

Democrat

Republican

President: Electoral Scoreboard. Race classification by Cook Political Report, forecast win likelihood by 538.

Dem >90% 196

NM 90% 201

CO 85% 210

MI 82% 226

ME 78% 228

NV 78% 234

PA 74% 254

NH 73% 258

MN 73% 268

National 72%

WI 72% 278

FL 65% 307

AZ 56% 318

NE2 55% 319

NC 51% 219

OH 55% 204

ME2 64% 186

GA 67% 185

IA 69% 169

TX 74% 163

AK 81% 125

MO 87% 122

SC 87% 112

MS 87% 103

MT 88% 97

Rep >90% 94

188	218	308		187	125	77
Solid	Likely	Lean	Toss-Up	Lean	Likely	Solid
DC VT MA CA MD NY WA DE IL HI RI CT NJ ME1 OR NM	VA 92% CO 85% ME 78% NV 78%	MI 82% (234) PA 74% (254) NH 73% (258) MN 73% (268) National 72% WI 72% (278) FL 65% (307) NE2 55% (308)	AZ 56% (319) NC 51% (219) ME2 64% (204) GA 67% (203)	OH 55% (187) IA 69% (169) TX 74% (163)	AK 81% MO 87% SC 87% MT 88% KS 92% IN 95% UT 95%	MS LA AR NE1 TN SD KY NE AL ND ID OK WV WY NE3

Senate: Italics indicates Democrats are the incumbent party. Race classification by Cook Political Report, polling averages by Real Clear Politics.

45	45	47		47	43	40
Solid	Likely	Lean	Toss-Up	Lean	Likely	Solid
MN NM DE IL MA NH NJ OR RI VA +35		MI (46) AZ -7.4 (47)	CO (48) ME -4.5 (49) NC -3.5 (50) IA -0.3 (51) MT +2.0 (49) GA (Perdue) +4.0 (48)	AL (47) GA (Loeffler) (46) KS (45) SC (44)	KY TX AK	AR ID LA MS NE OK SD TN WV WY +30

House: Race classification by Cook Political Report.

190	207	221		186	172	156
Solid	Likely	Lean	Toss-Up	Lean	Likely	Solid
190 seats	17 seats	14 seats	28 seats	14 seats	16 seats	156 seats