Data updated 21 August 2020 (end of Democratic convention but not pcked up in polls yet). President: Biden favoured to win (538), lean Biden (Cook). Senate: toss-up (Cook). House: lean Dem.
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| Democrat | Republican |
President: Electoral Scoreboard. Race classification by Cook Political Report, forecast win likelihood by 538.
| Dem >90% 196 |
90% 201 |
85% 210 |
82% 226 |
79% 232 |
78% 234 |
75% 254 |
73% 258 |
73% 268 |
73% |
73% 278 |
66% 307 |
56% 318 |
56% 319 |
51% 219 |
54% 204 |
63% 186 |
67% 185 |
68% 169 |
74% 163 |
81% 125 |
81% 122 |
88% 112 |
88% 103 |
89% 100 |
Rep >90% 94 |
| 188 | 218 | 308 | 187 | 125 | 77 | |
| Solid | Likely | Lean | Toss-Up | Lean | Likely | Solid |
| DC VT MA CA MD NY WA DE IL HI RI CT NJ ME1 OR NM |
VA 92% CO 85% NV 79% ME 78% |
MI 82% (234) PA 75% (254) NH 73% (258) MN 73% (268) National 73% WI 73% (278) FL 66% (307) NE2 56% (308) |
AZ 56% (319) NC 51% (219) ME2 63% (204) GA 67% (203) |
OH 54% (187) IA 68% (169) TX 74% (163) |
AK 81% MO 81% SC 88% MT 88% KS 92% IN 95% UT 95% |
MS LA AR NE1 TN SD KY NE AL ND ID OK WV WY NE3 |
Senate: Italics indicates Democrats are the incumbent party. Race classification by Cook Political Report, polling averages by Real Clear Politics. Majority: 51 (50 for party holding presidency)
| 45 | 45 | 47 | 47 | 43 | 40 | |
| Solid | Likely | Lean | Toss-Up | Lean | Likely | Solid |
| MN NM DE IL MA NH NJ OR RI VA +35 | MI (46) AZ -7.4 (47) | CO (48) ME -4.5 (49) NC -3.5 (50) IA -0.3 (51) MT +2.0 (49) GA (Perdue) +4.0 (48) | AL (47) GA (Loeffler) (46) KS (45) SC (44) | KY TX AK | AR ID LA MS NE OK SD TN WV WY +30 |
House: Race classification by Cook Political Report. Majority 218.
| 190 | 207 | 221 | 186 | 172 | 155 | |
| Solid | Likely | Lean | Toss-Up | Lean | Likely | Solid |
| 190 seats | 17 seats | 14 seats | 28 seats | 14 seats | 17 seats | 155 seats |