Data updated 28 August 2020. President: Biden slightly favoured to win (538), lean Biden (Cook). Senate: toss-up (Cook). House: lean Dem.
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Democrat | Republican |
President: Electoral Scoreboard. Race classification by Cook Political Report, forecast win likelihood by 538.
Dem >80% 226 |
78% 232 |
77% 234 |
71% 244 |
70% 264 |
70% 268 |
70% |
68% 278 |
62% 307 |
57% 308 |
54% 319 |
53% 219 |
57% 204 |
64% 186 |
67% 185 |
69% 169 |
76% 163 |
Rep >80% 125 |
188 | 218 | 308 | 187 | 125 | 77 | |
Solid | Likely | Lean | Toss-Up | Lean | Likely | Solid |
DC VT HI MA CA MD NY WA DE IL RI CT NJ ME1 OR NM |
VA 93% CO 86% NV 78% ME 77% |
MI 82% (234) MN 71% (244) PA 70% (264) NH 70% (268) National 70% WI 68% (278) FL 62% (307) NE2 57% (308) |
AZ 54% (319) NC 53% (219) ME2 64% (204) GA 67% (203) |
OH 57% (187) IA 69% (169) TX 76% (163) |
AK 81% SC 87% MO 88% MT 88% KS 92% IN 95% UT 95% |
MS LA AR NE1 TN SD KY NE AL ND ID OK WV WY NE3 |
Senate: Italics indicates Democrats are the incumbent party. Race classification by Cook Political Report, polling averages by Real Clear Politics. Majority: 51 (50 for party holding presidency)
45 | 45 | 47 | 47 | 43 | 40 | |
Solid | Likely | Lean | Toss-Up | Lean | Likely | Solid |
MN NM DE IL MA NH NJ OR RI VA +35 | MI (46) AZ -7.4 (47) | CO (48) NC -4.8 (49) ME -4.5 (50) IA -0.3 (51) MT +2.0 (49) GA (Perdue) +4.0 (48) | AL (47) GA (Loeffler) (46) KS (45) SC (44) | KY TX AK | AR ID LA MS NE OK SD TN WV WY +30 |
House: Race classification by Cook Political Report. Majority 218.
190 | 207 | 221 | 186 | 172 | 155 | |
Solid | Likely | Lean | Toss-Up | Lean | Likely | Solid |
190 seats | 17 seats | 14 seats | 28 seats | 14 seats | 17 seats | 155 seats |