Data updated 30 August 2020. President: Biden slightly favoured to win (538), lean Biden (Cook). Senate: toss-up (Cook). House: lean Dem.
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| Democrat | Republican |
President: States by win likelihood as forecast by 538. UVN (Undecided Voters Needed) calculates which percentage of undecided / third-party voters a candidate needs to reach 50% of the vote (note: 50% vote share is not a requirement, simple majority suffices.)
| State Prob EV Polls ..D/R UVN | Dem >80% 210 |
80% 226 -7.0 49/42 9.3% |
77% 232 -7.4 48/40 19.2% |
76% 234 -10.3 50/40 |
70% 244 -5.3 50/45 1.8% |
69% 264 -5.4 49/44 10.3% |
69% 268 -8.7 51/42 |
69% -8.2 50/42 |
67% 278 -5.9 49/43 11.7% |
61% 307 -5.2 49/44 12.9% |
57% 308 -7.0 51/44 |
53% 319 -3.9 48/44 23.3% |
54% 219 -1.6 48/46 62.5% |
58% 204 +0.6 46/47 46.1% |
66% 186 +0.0 44/44 50.0% |
68% 185 +0.6 46/46 46.4% |
70% 169 +1.3 45/46 42.7% |
77% 163 +1.3 46/47 41.3% |
Rep >80% 125 |
Electoral Scoreboard. Race classification by Cook Political Report, forecast win likelihood by 538.
| Solid | Likely | Lean | Toss-Up | Lean | Likely | Solid |
| 188 | 218 | 308 | 187 | 125 | 77 | |
| DC VT HI MA CA MD NY WA DE IL RI CT NJ ME1 OR NM |
VA 92% CO 85% NV 77% ME 76% |
MI 80% (234) MN 70% (244) PA 69% (264) NH 69% (268) Overall 69% WI 67% (278) FL 61% (307) NE2 57% (308) |
AZ 53% (319) NC 54% (219) ME2 66% (204) GA 68% (203) |
OH 58% (187) IA 70% (169) TX 77% (163) |
AK 81% SC 88% MO 88% MT 88% KS 92% IN 95% UT 95% |
MS LA AR NE1 TN SD KY NE AL ND ID OK WV WY NE3 |
Senate: Italics indicates Democrats are the incumbent party. Race classification by Cook Political Report, polling averages by Real Clear Politics. Majority: 51 (50 for party holding presidency)
| Solid | Likely | Lean | Toss-Up | Lean | Likely | Solid |
| 45 | 45 | 47 | 47 | 43 | 40 | |
| MN NM DE IL MA NH NJ OR RI VA +35 | MI (46) AZ -7.4 (47) | CO (48) NC -4.8 (49) ME -4.5 (50) IA -0.3 (51) MT +2.0 (49) GA (Perdue) +4.0 (48) | AL (47) GA (Loeffler) (46) KS (45) SC (44) | KY TX AK | AR ID LA MS NE OK SD TN WV WY +30 |
House: Race classification by Cook Political Report. Majority 218.
| Solid | Likely | Lean | Toss-Up | Lean | Likely | Solid |
| 190 | 207 | 221 | 186 | 172 | 155 | |
| 190 seats | 17 seats | 14 seats | 28 seats | 14 seats | 17 seats | 155 seats |